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There’s just one hitch: the system still needs guinea pigs. Even the best weather models can’t pinpoint where clear-air turbulence will occur. So the NCAR programs continue to rely on firsthand reports from planes that have already been tossed around. New technologies could change that in coming years. A plane equipped with a lidar sensor—which uses lasers to detect much finer particles than radar can—could pick up on turbulence even in a cloudless sky. But lidar systems are still too bulky and expensive to fit into a plane’s nose cone. And the government and the airline industry have been slow to invest in improving them. For now, the best hope for a flight heading into turbulence might be to program the plane itself to ride the bumps.
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If you think back to when we invaded Venezuela and snatched their president, there was a massive bet on when that president would be removed from office. I think it was like, “Will Maduro still be president as of a specific date?” And whoever it was made these bets very shortly before the operation happened and then made a bunch of money and left. So you’re thinking, “Okay, the worst-case scenario is somebody on the inside in the administration, who potentially is advising whether or not this happens, has bet on this, and now is making sure it will happen.”